Lambda Chi Capital52 hit21 missed5 partial43 still open
Every call below was logged with the creator's exact words before the result was known, then graded by the published rules and reviewed by a person before it went on the record. Hedged talk (“could”, “might”) is logged but not scored. The same claim repeated in one video counts once. A conditional call (“if X, then Y”) is graded only if X happened.
By channel
| Channel | Hit | Missed | Partial |
|---|---|---|---|
| VirtualBacon | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| Austin Arnold | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Chasse | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| No BS Crypto | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Thinking Crypto | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Aaron Arnold | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| The House Of Crypto | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Coin Bureau | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Simply Bitcoin | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Barron Network | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Across The Rubicon | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mark Moss | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Grouped by channel. A call a channel quoted from a guest is listed under the channel, with the speaker named in the table below.
Small samples prove little. We publish counts per person, not a hit rate, until someone has at least 25 graded calls.
Every graded call, newest first
| Said on | Who | The call | Asset | Result | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “it's not going to outperform Bitcoin from this point on” watch | ZEC | HIT | Oct 24, 2026 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “I still think 90k is totally valid to be reached before we head back down here” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “I'm willing to bet now that we're not going to go below 78.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 23, 2026 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “Within the next 30 days, I think it'll be pretty tough to break 90k.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 22, 2026 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Across The Rubicon | “the bull market continues to rip on like this really is the start of the three years of up cycle” watch | HIT | Oct 22, 2026 | |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Willy Woo on No BS Crypto | “Seems like there's more room in this move over the coming 2-4 weeks before it's overbought and needs cool down.” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 21, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aaron Arnold | “Bitcoin is surging, 80k is just the first stop.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 19, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | KALEO on Aaron Arnold | “a multi-year HTF breakout with send Ethereum to much higher levels versus Bitcoin” watch | ETH | MISS | Oct 19, 2026 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | No BS Crypto | “at the very foot of possibly the biggest bull market we've seen since 2017” watch | HIT | Oct 19, 2026 | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Aaron Arnold | “Bitcoin is on a path to hit $100,000 again in less than four weeks.” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 16, 2026 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kyle Chasse | “we are likely to see a rate hike” watch | HIT | Oct 15, 2026 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kyle Chasse | “We all expect a 25 basis point hike, and that's likely what's going to happen tomorrow.” watch | HIT | Oct 15, 2026 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bank of America on Kyle Chasse | “Bank of America believes it's going to be 75 basis points hike” watch | MISS | Oct 15, 2026 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “the lowest I would expect is something like 66, but not the low 60... not 60” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “the Fed will most likely hike tomorrow” watch | HIT | Oct 15, 2026 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Thinking Crypto | “I think that we will get past the cloture vote. Will it pass the floor vote? That's the big question.” watch | MISS | Oct 14, 2026 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Matt Hougan on Simply Bitcoin | “I think we go higher from here.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Austin Arnold | “If we can't even pass the closure vote, I think it would be a retest for lower lows” watch | PARTIAL | Oct 14, 2026 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “if we don't get it, then there's still a very good probability for Bitcoin to chop and go down to 66k” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “if the Clarity Act doesn't get passed, XRP could also drop down to like dollar 10” watch | XRP | MISS | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Kyle Chasse | “A Fed rate hike is coming on Wednesday.” watch | HIT | Oct 14, 2026 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | No BS Crypto | “I think it's possible we fall to the bottom or wick slightly lower in the 21-50 EMA band here which is roughly 73,600” watch | BTC | PARTIAL | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | No BS Crypto | “clearing that fair value gap right here between 72,000 and 70,000 before going higher.” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 14, 2026 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mike Novogratz on Thinking Crypto | “My instinct is the bill makes it to the floor. It all depends on if we get the White House to move on ethics” watch | HIT | Oct 13, 2026 | |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cody Carbone on Aaron Arnold | “You're not getting 60 votes no matter what without an ethics resolution.” watch | HIT | Oct 13, 2026 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | The House Of Crypto | “when a move to $3,000 could be coming for ETH, because that would be a very exciting thing to happen” watch | ETH | PARTIAL | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | The House Of Crypto | “because ultimately I believe that the Bitcoin dominance is going to come down.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | The House Of Crypto | “Yes, Bitcoin will continue to rise, but ultimately I think we're going to get much better performance from Ethereum versus Bitcoin.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arthur Hayes on VirtualBacon | “I think the end of the bear was the $58,000 level. That's where I think the local bottom is for this particular cycle.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gareth Soloway on Austin Arnold | “It hasn't surged dramatically yet, but based on technical analysis that surge should be coming.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Austin Arnold | “I think you've got upside to about 120 to 122 dollars near term here.” watch | SOL | HIT | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gareth Soloway on Austin Arnold | “I think this flag pattern could be setting up for a bigger move to the upside.” watch | SOL | HIT | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Coin Bureau | “and there is a good chance that marks a proper turning point for crypto's number one asset.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Aaron Arnold | “Crypto trader Crown says ETH, I'm no fanboy, but it'd be silly to not acknowledge it is stronger than Bitcoin in the near term.” watch | ETH | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Thinking Crypto | “Bitcoin, Ethereum, Zcash likely as well in my view are going to benefit from this debasement trade” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kyle Chasse | “I still think that the 58,000 level on Bitcoin was probably the local bottom and we chop and then continue higher.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | The House Of Crypto | “the break above is inevitably going to come and it's probably going to happen much sooner than many people think” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | No BS Crypto | “with possibly, you know, six figure Bitcoin ahead of us, you know, we're talking now about huge opportunities” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Austin Arnold | “Uniswap is going to do really well too, number one because of the fundamentals” watch | UNI | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Austin Arnold | “Solana, just based on the metrics, Solana is going to do well.” watch | SOL | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Thinking Crypto | “and we go higher, another leg up into the 90k's, possibly 100,000.” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | No BS Crypto | “I think ETH will outperform Bitcoin, especially because it's compressing now into a sort of channel” watch | ETH | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Thinking Crypto | “this schematic shows that we could go up to 88,000, possibly higher.” watch | BTC | PARTIAL | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Thinking Crypto | “I believe we've turned the corner into a bull market.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mark Moss | “I believe the Bitcoin bottom is in.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ran Neuner on Austin Arnold | “My thesis is that we are very very very much in a new bull market.” watch | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 | |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Austin Arnold | “I think we're going to be back at all-time highs much sooner than people expect.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Coin Bureau | “Much of that bet has already been priced in as those coins soared over the last year, although there is likely more room to run there.” watch | ZEC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arthur Hayes on Simply Bitcoin | “Are we beyond the bottom for Bitcoin? Is it only up from here? I think so.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Phong Le on Aaron Arnold | “Bitcoin is getting ready to enter a pretty heavy bull market.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | aaron on Aaron Arnold | “it is very likely that the bottom of $58,000 is in” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “We will for sure have a rate hike this year, and we will likely have one more rate hike next year in Q1.” watch | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 | |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Thinking Crypto | “Bitcoin has its next big move, and that may come in the next two to three weeks.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Thinking Crypto | “the bottom is in here, let's start loading up and get ready for the next leg up for Bitcoin” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | The House Of Crypto | “I expect altcoins to massively outperform the Bitcoin price in the shorter term.” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | No BS Crypto | “All of these things I do think will happen at some point over the next year. I think we're just getting into this new bull market” watch | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 | |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Coin Bureau | “Zcash's price had recovered, started consolidating, and was setting up for another huge leg higher.” watch | ZEC | MISS | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Kyle Chasse | “And if we get a rate hike, like we talked about before, there's a good chance of a big pullback in the S&P 500 and stocks and even bigger in crypto.” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “The bull run is not going to be over anytime soon.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kyle Chasse | “Tuesday we have the Clarity Act cloture vote, we already see across the board it's unlikely to pass” watch | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “we're not going to 20k, bro.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “inflation is very high and the Fed is stuck, so rate hikes are coming.” watch | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “the lowest low that we made at 58k, I think that should be the cycle low. I don't see Bitcoin going below there.” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “aim for the neckline breakout following that to be above 80k and it should be above the 50 week SMA” watch | BTC | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | No BS Crypto | “this is the first fair value gap we may fall to between the range of 69,000 and 73,000 which I do think is possible” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “reinforcing the fact that we will have a rate hike” watch | HIT | Oct 11, 2026 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “we could get this move down to 66k” watch | BTC | MISS | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Paul Barron Network | “around 3,000 this is kind of the target that I'm zoning in on for ETH” watch | ETH | PARTIAL | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Andy C on Paul Barron Network | “I think 4K is in range if not a little more if the SEC tokenization exemption hits” watch | ETH | MISS | Oct 11, 2026 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Kyle Chasse | “likely we get a hold on September 16th, no change” watch | MISS | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “I think it's very likely that the Fed will hike rates and the market agrees.” watch | HIT | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Simply Bitcoin | “So the Fed might hike next Wednesday and everything on your screen is red.” watch | HIT | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | VirtualBacon | “rate hikes most likely will start this month on September 16th” watch | HIT | Sep 16, 2026 | |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Aaron Arnold | “The Crypto Clarity Act Is DEAD. On Sept 15 it will die on the Senate floor.” watch | HIT | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Austin Arnold | “my prediction is that on September 15th we do pass the Clarity Act out of closure” watch | MISS | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Brian Armstrong on No BS Crypto | “60+ votes in the Senate on September 15th” watch | MISS | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Thinking Crypto | “The Cloture vote passes tomorrow but the full floor vote will not pass tomorrow.” watch | MISS | Sep 15, 2026 | |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Kyle Chasse | “if Bitcoin breaks below this, the next level that we're looking at is again this $74,000 level” watch | BTC | HIT | Sep 12, 2026 |
Everything, including the open and unscored claims, is in the Ledger and the raw CSV.